I guess the question is after you have correctly predicted the odds on the top 3 or 4 horses in a race, and knowing the top two odds horses win the lions share of races, what do you do with this? Is this your contender list based on your predicted odds? Or do you have a separate contender list from which you play your lowest odds contender(s) or conversely do you work from the other ends of your contenders list using the predicted higher odds contender(s)? I guess I'm presuming there are three or four contenders in a race.

Thanks Conley. At work so may not see races. Decided to reharmonized my bets in a more contrarian key. Not betting big, but good luck to you.

R6

2 Kaufymaker

R7

1 Desert Dawn
2 Hidden Connection

R8

11 Haughty

R9

7 Giant Game
10 Commandperformance

R10
2 Albahr (GB)
4 Tiz the Bomb
13 Coinage

I find big race days mystifying, but here are my lunchtime picks.

R7
6 Echo Zulu
1 Desert Dawn

R8
9 Koala Princess
1 Pizza Bianca

R9
1 Jack Christopher
10 Commandperformance

R10 Skip or
2 Albahr (GB)
6 Mackinnon

R6 8 Averly Jane
6 Twilight Gleaming (IRE

I think it is hard to do if you are not at the track, because you are at the mercy of the cameraman and what he chooses to focus on. They tend to focus mainly on the horses their commentators are touting. The point is to compare all the horses in the field with one another and if you leave one out it is pointless. And they leave horses out all the time. The jockey's also can cut the post parade short. Or, as in NY, they are too lazy to put a camera in the infield, so you mostly just see the track ponies on TV
.

Case of the rich getting richer. Not really good for racing. It is all about breeding. Spend a lot, get some black type and then pack them off to make money on breeding. A friend of mine once asked me what happens to many all these younger horses after Saratoga? He was into these trainers and their August competition, but noted how many of their horses tended to disappeared after August. They have huge barns but mostly focus on the cream. If the horses were spread out to a few more trainers you might see more of them racing longer.

If the horses were spread out to a few more trainers you might see more of them racing longer.

Case of the rich getting richer. Not really good for racing. It is all about breeding. Spend a lot, get some black type and then pack them off to make money on breeding. A friend of mine once asked me what happens to many all these younger horses after Saratoga? He was into these trainers and their August competition, but noted how many of their horses tended to disappeared after August. They have huge barns but mostly focus on the cream.