• updated work out reports has 4 bombs on labor day (9/2/24):
    hey ram: i use jim p's. but also have my own which has the days since last race and days since last race or work so that you know if the work out is fresh (since after the last race).

    fields: 30, 26, 27, 28, 224 and 225.

    i play mainly maiden races and cheap claimers where exceptional work outs really make a difference.
    there were 2 more bombs today, both at fanduel, formerly fairmount park. r3, was msw and the 3 had a 94 work out (tops) and the next highest was the 2 at 85. the 3 came from off the pace, storming down the stretch to win and paid $20.80!

    r5, at fanduel, was a cheap claimer for 4k and not only was the 8 the second best work out at 77, there was a jockey switch to uriel lopez who won r3 as well. the 8 paid $38.60 to win and $14.60 to place!

    miss seeing you at the meetings. hopefully we will talk soon.
  • big shout out to jimmy pommier for his work out idea:
    factors 24 and 25. thanks for the clarification, jimmy. i was just going to do that myself. and factor 26 has best work out in last 8 days.
  • big shout out to jimmy pommier for his work out idea:
    Create a report. Days since last race and days since last work out. When they are the same you know there are no new work outs since last race. When the work out days is less than the race days then you have a fresh work out. I will post the factors I used shortly as I am not currently on my laptop.
  • day of the race and jockey switches in general
    I have never compared them. I just include both. Would make an interesting study. Usually the top win jocks are the higher % jocks but not always.
  • day of the race and jockey switches in general
    that is what i thought, dave. thanks.
  • day of the race and jockey switches in general
    date is under available race meets.
  • day of the race and jockey switches in general
    brian: i start with the daily equibase scratches and changes but they don't always have the latest information. than i check the track crawl as well.

    jockey standings can be found under the leaders tags; leaders by track. then once you are there you select jockeys, track and date and you will get your list. check win % with a minumum # of starts as well as total wins.
  • day of the race and jockey switches in general
    note: 3/4 horses were a+, one was an f. the f finished in a thrilling 3 way photo for the win.
  • and yet another deT/jockey switch daily double bomb!
    I should have and meant to put this in the selections thread.
  • BALO Performance
    That’s great Dave R. and Dave S.
  • BALO Performance
    thanks dennis for that key information.
  • BALO Performance
    thanks, dennis. you're awesome!
  • BALO Performance
    dennis: do you have any stats on balos finishing second or third? thank you!
  • Selections group
    using fave angle and 3 deT contenders in following race leads to a $2 $262 daily double!

    r1 finger lakes: initial contenders were the 2,5,6. 2 was a balo and 5 was an f. so i liked the 6. this is where my favorite angle came in. day of the race jockey switch on the 7 to andrew worrie who was #2 in the standings only 1 win behind the leader, keibar coa. the 7 was also an a+ and a magnitude 2 horse.
    so my bets were 6 and 7 to win, 7 to place as well since its' gate odds were 32/1. the double play was 6,7/1,3,6. for the x 6,7/all.

    r2 finger lakes: my contenders were the 1,3,6. 1 was an f under best horse and thinking post race i probably should not have included it. the 6 was a balo but was a b+ under best horse. as a group we still seem to be determining when balos should be completely eliminated from the win position.

    results: r1 the 7 won and paid $67 and $23.50 to place. the 7/5 x paid $113.75.

    results: r2 6/3/1/2 6 won and paid $8.20. as previously noted the double paid $262.

    notes: thanks to jimmy p. for asking a great question last night about how to easily and quickly find contenders. thanks to dave s. for a great answer!

    usually the way i identify day of the race jock changes is to look them under equibase's track's race changes for the day. i did that today but none were listed for r1. however when i went to the track feed, it was listed on the crawl at the bottom of the page for race changes. so please be aware of that.

    dave r. the "ram" please feel free to share some more of your winning stories. i found the first day 15K post and later wins of yours very inspiring!
  • Feel Like Talking Handicapping Tonight? (Aug 5)
    contender selection:

    who is probably going to win; look at:
    1) ai line %'s
    2) best horse %'
    3) 0whales %'s

    add horses %'s in each category that add up to a total of 62%! those are your initial contenders.
  • Feel Like Talking Handicapping Tonight? (Aug 5)
    Dave: very productive meeting. I now know the 3 step approach to select contenders. A real time saver. Thank you Dave!
  • National Treasure Was a BALO - Scored $96 winner
    fave was .95/1. next closest horse was 6.80/1. dave what is the exact definition of a dominant odds horse?