Horizontal key?? Tony, since you have a strong opinion on R4 - #6 (Basic Truth), I say go for it! I agree that he will most likely be on the lead turning for home….
However, I’ve always had trouble getting the horses to do what I want in bottom of the barrel two-year old races (yes, I know they just turned three)…I think the #10 and the #6 will be the top two betting choices and the most likely winners of the race (respectively 2/1 (or less) and 5/2 – 3/1).
At first glance, I also like a prospective single in both Pick5 legs…the #4 (Gasoline) in R5. To me, he appears to have the most upside as a young, lightly raced and hopefully still improving gelding…he’s always well bet and this looks like a good spot to get his second win….
So, my ticket in the first Pick5 will be a caveman as follows: 1,2,4,5,7 / ALL* / 3,4,6 / 6, 10 / 4
*Note: Trying to create some value in leg 2 hoping someone can snap the #2 (I know, not likely!)
In the second Pick5, I’m trying to create value in the first leg as follows:
R4) A’s = 1,2,3,4,5,8,9 --- B’s = 6, 10
R5) A’s = 4
R6) A’s = 1,2
R7) A’s = 1 --- B’s = 7
R8) A’s = 2,5,8 --- B’s = 1,3,4,6,7 --- C’s = 9
Like you said, “there are many ways to project a race”!
Best of luck today!