I would be interested in what you learnt about the Australian approach. Can you share it? — John Rosier
A couple of very cool ideas.
First, understand that the AUS PPs are just... lacking. What we take for granted in the depth and quality of data is literally like 50x what the AUS
punters have!
When working with the AUS guys I was able to get their data. Would you believe that what we get for (say) $125 per month would cost over $3,000 over there - and would still be like 1/3 of ours!
So, when I say, that I learned some good stuff, I don't mean that it is readily available.
So, here's some cool ideas that I will be adding to our stuff.
RAN WELL
Think of it as sort of like Quirin's "Good Race."
Ran 1st,2nd,3rd
or
Within 2 lengths (3 lengths in a route)
But, instead, they measure it in lengths behind the winner.
EXPECTED TO RUN WELL
Imagine a table that has 2 columns.
- 1st column is ODDS.
- 2nd column is lengths behind
Now imagine that the
Lengths Behind column represents the
Average Lengths Behind for a horse in each of the given odds ranges.
Thus, one can look at a horse that is 5/2 and say that
HE SHOULD RUN WITHIN 2.3 LENGTHS.
(Not the actual number.)
Imagine having that for each odds range.
CORRELATING ODDS TO LENGTHS & BACK
The upshot of this is that a particular performance (i.e. beaten lengths) can now be graded as "He ran like 2/1" or "He ran like 12/1."
Of course, the class levels are another cool thing, but I will leave that for another day.