Comments

  • Do you ever?
    I had scoped out a trainer move at FL years ago, invilving a cut back to 6furlongs. I made a major bet for a college kid, and then headed to the track bar. The trainer was there cucking down Seagrams, so I go next to him to listen in.
    He turned and looked ut at the track and looked surprised, I heard him say, "S***. I thought this a mile. Dsnged horse can't get started for the first 6!"

    D'oh!
  • Do you ever?
    If I ever figure out how to enable luck, I'm not wasting it on horses...I'm going LOTTO! :)
  • What should an odds line be?
    Ranch, I agree that when a pace falls apart, the horses to look for are the ones running late.
    Normal factors won't always get it. When I use Timeform, the first thing I look for is the
    Pace Projector suggesting a hot, contested pace and then look for the best LP horses,
    particularly ones that show apparently dull recent races, ie, not hot paces.
    've caught a lot of very nice prices that way.

    Bris has race shapes in their PPs, but I find them to be ridiculous in many races.
  • Remarkable
    I do this it in FOXIT, a free PDF editor.
    I'm not sure I even know where my pen is anymore! lol
  • Chalk
    And Dave's Organize Your Handicapping gives a very effective way to identify which ones with the line scores and Reynolds 2 and Reynolds 3 idea.
  • Have you ever?
    D'oh!
    I was using pacemakestherace.STORE.com./
    My Dog, I hope I'm not getting dyslexia!

    Thanks.
  • Have you ever?
    So a ?

    What is the address for the store?
    I can't find a link anywhere.
  • Improve and Decline Rediscovered
    I watched the first few cards and am impressed with the racing.
    Frankly, I am pretty tired of Aqu, so the variety of conditions they card is interesting.
    I am starting a SWIW spreadsheet and think I will give FG a good shot this winter.
  • Improve and Decline Rediscovered
    Every horse is a D.
  • Improve and Decline Rediscovered
    One thing I am seeing so far is a good way to just say a race is not worth the rest of the work and move on.
  • Making an oddsline
    The numbers ranks, ie like Sartin outlined in the Yellow Manual, To simplify:
    EP SP AP
    1 3 2 = 6
    2 4 3 = 9
    3 1 4 = 8
    4 5 5 = 14
    I'm playing around with Randy Giles' Optimum Pace Model and want to incorporate either class or Bris PP into a final number.
  • Making an oddsline
    Rank 1 = 5
    Rank 2 = 4
    etc. to
    Rank 5 =1
  • Making an oddsline
    Say lowest would be 7 and highest would be 35.

    I think you guys may have already given me the answer/
  • Fair win odds theory
    You betting overlays, not races, not a single event.
    What happens in a single event, a race, means nothing in the long run.
    There is no rewars for your win percentage other than bragging rights.
    What matters is a simple eqation: Retun > Wagered.
  • What Makes a Good Handicapping Show?
    Or, the jockey had his head surgically removed from his butt on Monday! :)
  • What Makes a Good Handicapping Show?
    "inside info" is like pointing out that nothing won inside on turf for days, or controlling speed horse didn't break, that's why Old Paint wired the field, or Cox is 0 for 45 last 5 years with MSW to MC on turf at Toga.....
  • HSH 9.1 (Pre-Release Announcement)
    I can only get the winner I get 7 picks. :)
    I saw nothing positive. ???
  • What Makes a Good Handicapping Show?
    It is the "inside" information. Stuff like specific stats for today's race, things like comments from previous races, trouble, biases, etc. I don't care who the picks are.