Jeff P says that Equibase says they will use ELP.

Just FYI, BRIS preliminary files do not list Program Numbers or Morning Lines.

As of 7:15 p Central on 6/4, the preliminary BRIS Multicaps file for 6/7 uses the track code CD; the file was created on 6/3 at 3:49 pm. That was after the 6/2 CBS article on the venue change. Still, I don't consider that to be an absolute indicator of the track code to be used.

I am not aware of them having a harness meet. But, I know next to zero about harness racing.

He indicates it was Horseshoe Indianapolis. Neither harness nor southern.

Sometimes there is only one likely winner on the grounds for these odd conditions.

Two horses were reported to have a fever, Skinner and Practical Move. Joseph's horse, Lord Miles, was scratched after Joseph was suspended related to having two horses die on the track. Forte was reported to have a foot issue. Not sure about Continuar.

Forte is scratched.

Skinner is out in the Derby, so the field is down to 19 now. All of the AE's are in.

I am still trying to fully wrap my head around these issues. Compared to other races, I tend to downgrade speed and upgrade class, form and connections. But there's a lot to consider.

None moved more than one level, so it could have been much worse. I've seen horses that changed from E to S or S to E.

Here are the horses which I have changed the running style:

Two Phil's P to E/P
Tapit Trice P to P/S
Kingsbarns E/P to P
Skinner S to P/S
Angel of Empire S to P/S
Raise Cain P to E/P
Rocket Can E/P to P
Lord Miles P to P/S

The gotcha races are the paceless races. Instinct says the horse that can go to the front should win. In actuality, the horse that goes to the front and is not comfortable on the front end backs up. A deep closer comes up at monster odds. It doesn't happen a lot, but one of those could skyrocket your P5.

Well, Quick Grid didn't exist until early this year, but I have a lot of confidence in the Alternate Running Style and the Pressure figure, which is an indicator of the likely early speed. The screen shot is actually from the next version of Quick Grid using the BRIS file from the first Saturday of 2022.

Note that Quick Grid had 6 E horses in 2022, whereas BRIS had only 1. The two early leaders were N/A horses that had run at Meydan. So, there were the foreign speed horses in addition to the E horses.

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I don't do much handicapping of the Derby until after the post draw and data release. I'll try to put in my 2 cents later. I'm intrigued by your comment about one E7 after last year's rabbit meltdown.

Yes, the trainer is intentionally trying to skip a condition.

Interesting. I would think the horse still needs to have indicators that it is ready to step outside the maiden ranks.