The PDF is a welcome addition! Thanks Conley. Will look forward to see how things average out over the course of the meet. ( I've only played Oaklawn twice before)

Sorry Dave! Not computer savvy at all. Didn't realize the magnitude of the task suggested. LoL!

Dave, there are 4613 runners in 627 dirt sprint races from 1/1/2021 to 11/7/2021 and they are not broken out by shapes.

Interesting idea though and if I can work it in/up without having to stay up late, I'll see what I can do.

Can you break it down to where the top horse is 5 or 6 ? Then break that down to those with 5 or 6 which also have a 4 point edge?

What about races in which the top horse is a 5 or 6 AND also holds a 4 point edge?
Steven

@RanchWest

Is there anything in particular that tends to fuel your contrarian fire

Yes! I lean to "obvious" overlays that often lie "outside the numbers". It comes from my old school handicapping education combined with keen observation.

@RanchWest

In the past I have used spot plays, physicality and claims with at least some success. Now, I am using Sartin methodology. What do you use? Do you use a computer? Or are you like one guy I knew... a Big Chief Tablet handicapper? Do you have confidence in what you are doing?

Yes! I'm that guy! Pen, paper ,cerebral energy and a handful of spot plays.
I'm also a diehard contrarian.

@Tony Kofalt

I also see a safety concern running through the turn. Will the cutaway make navigating the turn more dangerous as multiple horses attempt to gain rail position?

It seems that the point of the cutout is to eliminate any edge that the rail position might have otherwise held in the run to the wire. Thus.."multiple horses " attempting to gain rail postion wouldn't be an issue.

@Dave Schwartz

I thought it would IMPROVE safety for the riders because you wouldn't have the guys coming through on the rail

At first glance,I must agree that the "cutout" would be a positive safety move as it "spreads" the field at the top of the stretch and eliminates any "edge" that diving for the rail might afford once past the cutout . The "straight" line is the same distance to the wire wherever the horse is placed on the track.Thus ,fewer traffic difficulties .
Since the cutout effectively eliminates any "edge" that a following horse might gain by following "the shortest way home" by riding the rail we'll likely see better stretch running too. Only our handicapping will need some modification.

@Tony Kofalt

Tough balancing act William

It certainly is ! However , I'm certain that my "default" position differs considerably from yours ,which makes it easy to comment.

@Tony Kofalt
I think these 3 measures are not only acceptable but necessary, given the inherent uncertainty about how, precisely, a race will play out. However, we must be careful to avoid inclusions merely in the interest of "caution". This is why finding strong "singles" or pairs is vital

Very good! It'll still be about the 25th of this month.

Dave Schwartz
Should I wait a little longer for the 2022 version of P&P ?

Yes to longer videos!

Thanks for the informative read Dave.
Looking forward to part2.

Would need some wealthy backers though.

So...someone already possessing such a winning system could conceivably syndicate it to generate startup and bankroll ...

Dave Schwartz.
I guess that I overlooked the "Private" part of " private companies" and consequently they must be "privately" funded.. In that light they must be viewed as dangerous competitors.Still wonder what sort of "deep pockets" are funding these 6 ventures.
...My suspicious nature showing.lol

Perhaps we can learn something from their approach..

Please forgive me if Im getting tedious. My curiosity is piqued and I tend to delve deep to satisfy it.

Dave Schwartz.

Seriously?
One company wagered $300m and made $27m profit.

That's a +9% ROI.

But even more amazing is that they did it out of a $3m bankroll.

Thus, that is 9x on their money for the year.

They have 100 employees.

Are these companies whose sole endeavor is investing in horse racing wagering or do they also conduct other business?