PP's Question Hi Dave, decided to join your Horsestreet blog site and I was just perusing. One of the questions I wanted to ask in terms of the HDW website and it's data is what Past Performance Data do you use. Is it Bris, Equibase, Drf? Also, one of your factors, or can or is this built-in, is horses in cycles tend to show either losing speed on the turn or from 2nd Call to the stretch as negative length loss. I tend to look for horses that have gone 1-2 races whereby this happens particularly if they are chasing and not close to the lead. I have had sucess with these types or will wait to they show improvement in their running. — Charles Lucas
1. Only HDW data.
Cost is $142 per month for all tracks with results.
2. Yes, there are several factors that refer to that.
Things like positions/length lost between calls.
Those are shown in several formats.
Last race
Per race in a graph
Time-decayed
Averages
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Truth: Our suggested approach to speed already recognizes that the 2nd call (i.e. EP) is not as important as it is made out to be.
Of the 52% of all winners that are within 1 length at the 2nd call, 44% of those were already on the lead at the 1st call.
IOW, the
2nd call challengers only account for 8% of all winners and their prices are low.
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"Do you know what you call a horse who makes a big move on the turn?"
The odds-on favorite.
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