My state does not allow ADW's anymore. Are conditional wagers still available? Odds of 11/1 or more are probably not going to drop significantly in the last seconds, are they? — RanchWest
So, how do we become profitable then — Bill Madsen
That's not so terrible if they're really profitable. — Bill Madsen
But certainly some go off at higher prices. — Bill Madsen
Surely that can be turned into profit somehow? — Bill Madsen
Interesting, Dave. What is PSR? I don't necessarily mean specifically, but is that a speed number of some sort? — RanchWest
There were 2 men involved. Each spent less than two years in prison. They were ruled off as undesirable so they never returned to the track. — Tony Kofalt
You think that's funny... when he finally told the truth, that meant he had committed perjury, which is a felony. — RanchWest
The fog incident was in a race with such a low purse that the jockey could not be charged with a felony. — RanchWest
The most infamous incident at Delta was the "fog jockey" incident. — RanchWest
Another set of stats that might be ripe is workouts. Is there a difference between when the horses win and lose? Does the trainer work the horses long or short? Any difference for distances or surfaces? Fast or slow? Frequency? Does the typical layoff after a race disclose anything? Does the trainer have access to a private training facility? — RanchWest
Note that I suggested beginning with a premise and then testing that premise. That avoids, in part, the backfitting issue. Of course, as you suggested, you still have to forward test because it can still regress. — RanchWest