How do I continue to let this happen? I believe I need to focus more on including the best speed horses. Here is my plan of attack.
!) it is acceptable for all of your contenders to show early speed of lay close to the pace.
2) it is acceptable to include a mix of speed type (early and late) on your tickets
3) it is NOT acceptable to build contenders when none of them figure to press or be involved early.
The exception would be an off the pace 'single'.
I don't know how I let this happen but the post race autopsy gave me the insight to implement a solution.
Any thoughts? — Tony Kofalt
My research on this - and where I began with the
Early Speed Series - is to do something I call
SUBSET HANDICAPPING.
You saw a hint of it in the
8-Point Horse post.
That is, asking the question, "What happens if the 8-point horse doesn't win?"
Assuming the
Percentages & Probabilities 2022 product does well, I will continue to do more products. My prime focus will definitely be on
SUBSET HANDICAPPING.
Teaser:
My belief is that late horses are not typically predictable.
It's more like saying "Late horses win when early horses lose."
Trust me when I say that the impact of that is almost as startling as the 8-point losers.