Wow! Tony - Jack Double.

Now need Jack's #4 (Gasoline) in R5.

It's supposed to warm up tomorrow for our annual Xmas grill out-- about 5 degrees. 26 years ago, the beer keg froze. Had to bring it inside. See how it goes tomorrow. Not to worry, 50 degrees mid next week!?!? Have a great holiday.

Funny that I mentioned the old pattern-- "...... back-to-back road games with the first game in Denver. Because of the higher altitude in Denver, the players' shots would be off in the next road game. Take the home team." The Lakers played in Denver on Wednesday and are in Minneapolis tonight. The problem is the Lakers have been shooting horribly in their first 4 games. Not sure they can shoot any worse, altitude or no altitude. The line this morning was T-wolves -8.5, now it's -7.5. Not sure if the T-wolves want to put a hurt on LeBron, but for craps and giggles, laid the points-- T-wolves -7.5, $11 to win $21.19.

Wow. Imagine 1988 and you had 2022 sports betting on your iPhone with live in-game wagering. Making wagers during the game with this software would have been fun.

Patterns to specific scenarios. I think that it's something that's been overlooked.
Yes, I do recall home-road dead-bang winner (or something to that affect). The one I remember most was a team with back-to-back road games with the first game in Denver. Because of the higher altitude in Denver, the players' shots would be off in the next road game. Take the home team. Today, very few 2nd road games after Denver are within 1-2 days.

BEL R1 - #6/3/1
BEL R4 - #11/4/2/1

I wish I could find it again, but someone posted odds based on yesterday's double with the Belmont. Mo was 2-1 and WTP was 2.9-1. The Derby winner Rich was about 6/7-1. So looks like your odds could be a little better than 2-1 on WTP.

I plan on doing the same-- P5. R8 I'll try to beat Arrest Me Red. R10 try and beat Gufo. I plan to use both on my ticket but go 5 to 6 deep with other contenders.

I like Mo Donegal. Was 10 wide in the Derby. Will get a better trip. WTP is the only +5 Q (E6), but doesn't have extreme E1/E2 pace numbers. Will he bounce off his ATH speed figure? Certainly can get the lead. But will there be any pace pressure? I think Mo will be a little closer to the pace. Always swings wide, but won't have to go 10 wide. Has solid pace and speed numbers versus the field, and I'm looking for him to improve off the Derby effort.

Wow!! Very nice. A lot of data there. Like the color coding. But I see the point of your original post.

Dave, thank you for the video. At least for me, it was very helpful. I have a few questions, if fellow handicappers in the forum could please provide their thoughts.
1. I use BRIS. From what I've read, horses with a +6, +10, etc Prime Power point advantage win at a very high percentage (of course many times at very low odds like 1-2). How to play? Many do not look vulnerable but still get beat.
2. How to play small 5 and 6 horse fields where you land on the 8-5 and 2-1. Always separate using jockey/trainer (and other factors), or Dutch? Also, happens in 7+ horse fields, then Dutch?

I'm thinking time and money. To build a program to look at factors in multiple ways and to run data in something 3-dimensional versus one horse at a time would take a lot of time and money. I don't think individual horseplayers have either. If they did, do they want to commit to that kind of investment. Finally, can you build something that will work and is profitable?

Working okay now. Thanks.

Is the video still available? Watched it this morning and getting an error now. Thanks, JIm.
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I pretty much use them like you. A <5% trainer, I'll leave the horse off my ticket most of the time. I may wager on a horse if the trainer has a high win percentage in an individual statistical category such as "46-90 days away" even though the trainer's overall win percentage is <10%. But I look at other factors, not just the positive trainer stat.

I'm hoping to dig into this a little more this week. E, E/P, P or S-- is there any trend? High early pace or late pace ranking?

Try again.

I found a 2013 article that someone over on PA posted that has the information (see below). The data would have to be dusted off since it's from 2013. Probably not too many changes. But it's not in any ready to use mechanical/Excel format. Guessing that a table behind the scenes would have to be built. Not sure if this is something you want to undertake as a programmer? I understand if you don't. The effort to program, and then the visit to the "rabbit hole" as you say. May not be worth it. Thanks, Jim.

Good afternoon, Steven. I'm interested with working with you on a new spot play. Or at least running it by you. This idea is from my brother. It's a little unique. Also, may be difficult to code since I don't think that the different track's configurations are easily available in current files. Maybe I'm wrong on that.
1. Last race was a 2-turn race. Any distance but was run at 2-turns.
2. Today's race is a 1-turn race at 6.5 to 8.0 furlongs.
3. Today's qualifier(s) have a high ranked late pace (LP) [1st, 2nd], or the LP is within *5 points* of the 1st ranked LP.
For example, a horse runs a 2-turn race at 1 1/16 miles, and today is running 1-turn at 7.0 furlongs. Has the 2nd best LP.
It gets a little tricky since some tracks have 2-turn 8.0's and others are 1-turn. So, it's not always a cut back in distance. The distance could be the same, but today the race is 1-turn versus 2-turns. Also, the "shipper" angle then comes into play.
Thanks, Jim.