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  • About UNDERSTANDING Columns...
    Several nice winners yesterday using the the 26,000 AI-based columns made up of 30 factors chosen by the AI engine specifically for the TYPE OF RACE (based upon how the AI sees "race type."). 150 factors (also known as COLUMNS) in one object.
    GPX01 - #3 $18.80
    GPX03 - #4 $8.80
    GPX05 - #9 $5.40
    GPX06 - #5 $9.80
    ELP01 - #6 $13.26
    ELP05 - #10 $6.80
    ELP07 - #8 $22.72
    ELP08 - #8 $11.48
    TDN01 - #3 $6.20
    TDN03 - #4 $7.00
    TDN08 - #4 $4.60
    Plus 8 Exactas using the TOP 3 contenders. Two more exactas if you went 4 deep.
    Rules: No Turf races, no races with FTS's, no races with two d1's or two L1's or a d1/L1.
  • About UNDERSTANDING Columns...
    I had a call with Dave yesterday to go over this. Rather than trying to decide on the factors myself-- I decided to test letting the 26,000 AI-based columns made up of 30 factors chosen by the AI engine specifically for this TYPE OF RACE (based upon how the AI sees "race type.") do the work for me. 150 factors (also known as COLUMNS) in one object.

    Dirt/Tapeta races from Saturday and Monday. No Turf, no races with FTS's, no races with two d1's, two L1's or a d1/L1, or races where a H9 is the top selection.
    32 races = $64.00. Return = $139.94. ROI = 118.65%. There was actually a d1 $25.00 winner that I left out since I haven't seen that high of a payoff on a d1.

    You may want to look at the 26,000 columns and see how they work with your columns and also integrate with the 88% - Finding the Race Within the Race.
  • Horizontal Wagering
    I jokingly mentioned Classic Rock this morning since his name came up in a possible racing scandal. Twitter is blowing up. The NYRA has referred the matter to HISA.
    Five horses, including Classic Rock, all off layoffs from the Fair Hill Training Center, ran at Saratoga and Monmouth yesterday. Four of them won, same trainers, with huge Beyer jumps. Classic Rock from 60 to 91. Back-to-back 17-1 and 3.8-1 winners at Monmouth returned only $25.60 on a $2 Double, way less than the 1st leg winner. Another Fair Hill was supposed to run at PID today, but was a late scratch.
    So your winning selection may become part of racing history.
  • Horizontal Wagering
    Nicely done! I see you had the #1 Classic Rock in Race #4-- $18.68.
  • v30001-THE 88% - Finding the Race Within the Race (Video)
    Here's a nice one in SAR1 today. First I run AI Asst using a PSR Whale-friendly type object. As Dave says-- pushes winners to the top and losers to the bottom. Then I like to check for the number of D's and L's and the "pace of the race" using pcE, pcEP, etc and es "early speed" points. There's one d1 that went off at 3/5. Not a strong front runner based on pcE and pcEP. Also, has the lowest early speed points-- 3. If this holds, then the d1 will be last and have to pass all of the other contenders. A tough assignment for a $12K claimer. I have much more confidence tossing the d1.
    The #7 is a toss based on the AB. Then run the "race within the race" and the #4 jumps out as the selection. The race ran as expected with the d1 breaking last and the #4 won easily paying $7.54.
  • I've Been Working on WINNING - Part 1
    Thanks Dave. I like the idea of "sizing your bets based upon Expected Hit Rate".
  • Saratoga around the corner
    Yes, count me in. Play along or contest-- either is okay with me.
  • Kentucky Derby
    Nice write-up. I'm sure someday there will be a movie about the Ortiz brothers-- wonderful story.
    We could debate the stretch call until the 2027 Derby. Sure, there could have been an Inquiry posted. Would it have changed anything, who knows. It's simply a part of horse racing.
  • Thistledown today
    Yes, races #10 and #11 from last year. GPX only had 9 races today. They usually then card a few races from I believe Argentina. Looks like maybe they thought there were 11 races today, but the last two (2) were from Argentina, not GPX.
  • Thistledown today
    FYI. Also, downloaded data files for GPX R10 and R11 from last year. I advised HDW.
  • Thistledown today
    Yes, it's last years races. Looks like a HDW issue.
  • Horse racing is not dead...
    Nice! Haven't been there, but sounds like a great place to watch and wager on horse racing.
  • 50/1 hit!!
    We really don't know what factors DET used to qualify the winner. It's "under the hood". I checked some of the factors that I have that DET would have had available. Good trainer and jockey ratings as compared to the rest of the field. Also, a solid final time 2 races back. There's 2,000+ factors. So I'm sure there's others that the DET used to qualify the winner.
  • 50/1 hit!!
    I was just starting to post. I had the winner as well. I watched the replay just to make sure the #3 won.
  • Today's white board session with Dave and Pony Player
    Just had a white board session with Dave and Pony. Great new stuff coming Wednesday-- Red Flag and Green Flags. See you then.
  • HSH
    I agree with you on the Trainer object. I like simply using Trainer: Today's Track and Jockey Rating as a tie breaker.
  • BIG UPGRADE coming!
    Santa's elves at work. Can't wait for Xmas morning.
  • Jimmy P Recovering From Surgery
    Thanks Jeff and group. Doing better each day. Had a deviated septum (difficult to breathe) which led to chronic sinus infections that antibiotics could not get rid of. After 25+ years, decided to take care of it before 2026. The surgeon broke the septum and areas around the sinuses in 4 places. Then removed some bone and tissue. Then scraped out all of the mess and infected tissue in the sinuses.
    No more packing with gauze/fabric post-op. They use what's called Doyle splints that are sutured around the septum to keep it in place for a week. Get the splints removed in 3 days. I'll start to really breathe and feel better in about 2-4 weeks. Wish I had taken care of this years ago. I'll be "back in the saddle" before too long.