Quick question. The aML and IRA reports. Is this and/or-- or does the horse have to be 10 or higher in both? Or simply 10 or higher in either?

Okay, working okay now.

Follow up to my above question. I recall you said that the Whales update their systems only once a year-- I think you said sometime during the winter. Is there any future plans for something like that with deT?

Back to Chaos 5 races. When you click on AI Race it displays Chaos=5 and then Key Call=1st Call, Key Call=Str Call, etc. Is the AI saying that the Key Call displayed is still important even though it's a Chaos=5 race?

02JUL2024. The following were #1: No BALO race / Chaos 5. Several of these races had multiple AI BH's, but only 1 or 2 were BALO's. So there was still 1 or 2 AI BH Mag 1's left in the race. I made a few notes below so everyone can go back and review if they want. I'm not sure what the Clear Strategy would be, but something to think about. The three (3) A+ certainly catch my eye. But, note there were multiple A+'s in the race.

TDN R1 #3 $26.00 Mag 1 A+
PRX R5 #3 $55.60 Mag 0 A+
PRX R7 #1 $16.40 Mag 0 D-
PRX R8 #9 $5.80 Mag 1 BALO F
PRX R10 #5 $12.60 Mag 1 B
FLX R8 #4 $15.40 Mag 0 D

The following were #4: BALO race / Chaos 5. In these races, any and all AI BH Mag 1's were BALO's.
PRX R9 #5 $32.20 Mag 0 A+
IND R1 #3 $5.60 Mag1 BALO C-

Please feel free to provide any "winner(s) analysis like you did with the PK3 score. I and a few others just got up and running today. Especially any of your own methods or if you come across any nuggets that we didn't cover in the Zoom meetings.

Yes, I like that idea. You and others have some unique core methods of handicapping using other software, horses to watch, watching video replays and "connection" horses. Some methods quite frankly-- I've never had any real success. Maybe learning a few new tweaks here and there will help us all.

Curious how what I'll call your "connection" horses do. I was part owner of a horse several years ago and never had any real success with recommended horses. Recall one was bet down from 5-2 to 3-5, the gate opened, and the horse didn't move. Jockey shook the reins-- the horse walked out, then around the gate and back towards the barn. I know they don't all win, but guessing you're doing okay since you mentioned it.

Jim Pommier = I like to use trainer stats, speed and Prime Power. Win and horizontal wagers.

Aksarben, Nebraska spelled backwards. Made several trips there when I was working in Des Moines back in the 80's. Pre on-line wagering-- so I made the 2.5-3 hour trip on the weekends. I remember the great Who Doctor Who. I think it was the late Terry Wallace on the call. Packed crowds when the Doctor ran-- and Terry, he would get the crowd into a frenzy with his call-- "Here comes the Doctor". Some fans cheering on while standing on the hoods of their cars in the infield.
I also met a fella there who had been to I want to say 25 or 30 straight KY Derby's. He wore a huge hat he made I think out of wood that looked like the Churchill Downs grandstand with the twin spires. He was on the national Derby broadcast many years. Oh the good ol' days.

Hello Pony. Jimmy or Jim here from Chicagoland. Grew up in Louisville. Now semi retired. Part-time handicapper looking to become "consistently" profitable. Some very good years, good years, so-so, and down years. Looking to become a more consistent and profitable handicapper each and every year.
Thanks for putting the group together. I'm very much interested in working together with you and the other deT's out there.

2:30pm West coast would be 4:30pm for me Central. I'll be available.

Yes, I agree. Let's work on this during the onboarding. CritDev and fixing bugs is much more important right now.

Thank you. In the other thread, Jim Parker talked about HSH Objects (now will be Reports). Could you also please provide a sample HSH Object with say 1, 2, 3 factors. Nothing fancy. This will help me visualize what those are all about as well.

I'm trying to put something together around the "What you need is:". You said you came up with about 40 Handicapping Flips. It's sounds like we can then pick two that we like that will fit with our core method of handicapping without any overlap? Can you please provide an example of 1 or 2 Handicapping Flips so I'm on the right track (visualize).

What you need is:
1) A Core method of handicapping.
2) A Handicapping Flip that adds new and powerful information.
3) A second Handicapping Flip that adds new and powerful information.

Yes, this really helps. Your BALO Process write-up, the 1., 2., 3 puts into words what I was trying to get to.
Last, as it pertains to 3 below and the 4 Pace Objects. Why use Pace to test, and why not Speed Figures?
3. Finally, the 4 Pace Objects are also used to test the BALO Candidates.

2. Creating bad favorites.

a. Somewhere you've got your old copy of HSH and some data.
b. Using Filters and the PickList Manager, you can isolate on a subset of favs.
c. Then you can use the ObjectMaster (OBM) to build objects that point to losing favs among those isolated on.

See if I have this right. The deT is using AI to start-- determine the Best Horse(s). Then to determine if the Best Horse is a BALO or not we're using AI's four (4) Green Pace Objects. So at this stage in the process deT is using "pace" versus other factors? So is the deT different than what HSH was doing above?

Yes, I've been watching the conversations on PA.
1. The business model essentially says, "If you're making money flat, you aren't betting enough and should bet more." The target is to lose about 3.5% per wagered dollar.
So the Elite Turf Club and the other whales don't really make a profit on wagers, rather their income is generated through rebates? Someone commented "if they have a positive ROI, that's bonus money." So there is no positive ROI, rather they wager large sums of money, and pay the salaries and bills just from rebates?

Here's what I found. I'm not sure if it's what you're looking for. I wasn't sure what the $net is?
If you wish to put a number on your own handicapping acumen, you can calculate your own $2 ROI. If you bet $5,000 in a year and win $6,000, simply divide your winnings by half of the amount you wagered. In other words, $6,000 divided by $2,500 (half of $5,000) is $2.40, a profit of 40 cents on every $2 wager.

I have a ROI calculator that an old PA member created. Seems to work okay. You can reach me at " goforginatcomcastdotnet " and I can send a copy of it to you. Windows may reject it at first and you have to click "Run Anyway". But I was able to get it saved to my desktop.