Basically, as a handicapper you will often benefit from thinking like a trainer. Of course, in order to do that, you have to study how trainers think. I once told a trainer that I knew the move he was making and he looked at me like I was Satan. lol
I had scoped out a trainer move at FL years ago, invilving a cut back to 6furlongs. I made a major bet for a college kid, and then headed to the track bar. The trainer was there cucking down Seagrams, so I go next to him to listen in.
He turned and looked ut at the track and looked surprised, I heard him say, "S***. I thought this a mile. Dsnged horse can't get started for the first 6!"