Dave, I truly admire your inner strength and the approach you take to life. Here's to those victories; however big or small they may be for each of us!
This is a good question as there are many forms of class to consider: purse, claiming tag, track (is the horse shipping in from a higher or lower class track?), trainer, or jockey. These considerations aren’t based on time but are certainly reflected in the odds. My question is when are these factors more predictive than past performance data?
I just read on Pace Advantage a post of Ron Tiller’s from 2004 in which he describes Dave as an “artificial intelligence/neural network bon vivant”. Hah! A perfect description 21 years later!
RIP Ron. Thank you for your humor and your support!!!
RIP to one of the good ones…
a lot of the magic of HSH and its descendants is directly related to the diligence and devotion that were the daily bread of HDW, aka Ron Tiller and Jim Cramer et al…the integrity and quality of their data, the attention to detail, the quest for preciseness, 364 days a year, year in, year out, for decades of my life, is unmatched by anything else….the calm and never rattled Ron Tiller, a man with a very unique perspective on life and a singular sense of humor, will be greatly missed,,,my world is greatly diminished by his passing, he was dedicated to smoothing the bumps and filling the potholes in the road we travel, and although life goes on, the numbers will never be as accurate nor as readily available as they have been under his watch…
Ron knew people as friends, not clients or customers, and i am deeply saddened to have lost an old friend.
As a JCapper user, I had many LONG conversations
with Ron over the years. He was always so very helpful
and gave out his expert knowledge about racing freely.
"These are the top track bias plays to target this week (Jan 08) when handicapping:
Gulfstream Park
Posts 4-6 in Tapeta sprints are winning 52% of races.
Turfway Park
Closers in routes have taken 50% of races.
Tampa Bay Downs
Early runners in dirt routes are 20-for-40.
Fair Grounds
Closers in turf routes have won 60% of the races.
Oaklawn Park
Stalkers in routes have won 45% of races."
QUESTION:
Are the strongest horses getting the lucky draw into the middle posts
at Gulfstream?
Are the closers the strongest at Turfway or are the jocks taking back
because they think that is the way they HAVE TO ride to win? Or is
there REALLY a bias?
Same with the other tracks?