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ponyplayer
167Jim Michalak sent me the following:
Sooooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Where do we look? What do we use? -
Jim Pommier
105I'll be checking out contenders from the Florida, Louisiana and Arkansas Derby's. Also, watch Dave's "My Playing Strategy Plus Kentucky Derby, 2022" video. Search in the Forum and you'll find the video from a few years ago. If you don't like the favorites, this video will help you find the longshots. -
PickMaster
22Field Rank Starts Pays Pay% $Net IV PIV ExW PExW 1606 rjtOvr 1-1 11 2 18.2 $13.38 3.50 2.78 0.6 0.7 1607 rjtSurf 1-1 11 2 18.2 $13.38 3.50 2.99 0.6 0.7 152 rcJky 1-1 11 1 9.1 $12.75 1.75 1.39 0.6 0.7 1608 rjtOff 1-1 11 1 9.1 $12.75 1.75 1.94 0.6 0.5 26 rWork8 1-1 14 3 21.4 $11.39 4.13 2.39 0.7 1.3 30 rWorkL1 1-1 16 3 18.8 $9.96 3.60 2.08 0.8 1.4 36 rJkyRtg 1-1 15 1 6.7 $9.35 1.29 0.94 0.8 1.1 27 rWork14 1-1 16 1 6.3 $8.99 1.20 1.04 0.8 1.0 1575 r2f06 1-1 12 2 16.7 $5.45 3.22 3.12 0.6 0.6 1559 rSp2f1y 1-1 13 2 15.4 $5.03 2.96 3.03 0.7 0.7 1580 r2f11 1-1 13 2 15.4 $5.03 2.96 3.03 0.7 0.7 1 rPubCh 1-1 11 6 54.5 $4.85 10.50 2.83 0.6 2.1 1582 r2f13 1-1 14 2 14.3 $4.67 2.75 2.89 0.7 0.7 180 rfDS 1-1 11 3 27.3 $4.18 5.25 2.96 0.6 1.0 182 rfSpr 1-1 11 3 27.3 $4.18 5.25 2.96 0.6 1.0 1624 rtEP 1-1 17 3 17.6 $3.91 3.38 2.09 0.9 1.4 1650 rgSCHi 1-1 17 3 17.6 $3.91 3.42 2.16 0.9 1.4 74 rSCAV4 1-1 19 4 21.1 $3.86 4.05 2.09 1.0 1.9 176 rML 1-1 11 5 45.5 $3.82 8.75 2.55 0.6 2.0
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Dave Schwartz
394
Check out ES Points for the Derby Winners.
As I recall, they usually win a lot of them. (Surprisingly) -
PickMaster
22
Kentucky Derby. 202-ESWIN BETS Field1 Field2 Starts Pays Pct $Net IV PIV DV BV AvPay AvOdds AvPubC 0 24 1 4.2 $12.33 0.81 0.94 7.95 0.35$296.00 17.18 7.38 1 14 0.0 $0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 $0.00 20.05 7.93 2 25 1 4.0 $0.51 0.77 0.87 0.33 0.36 $12.80 16.61 7.32 3 30 1 3.3 $1.31 0.64 0.72 0.85 0.37 $39.22 16.37 7.30 4 33 0.0 $0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.42 $0.00 14.27 7.09 5 22 2 9.1 $1.77 1.72 1.69 1.14 0.43 $19.51 13.95 7.23 6 25 0.0 $0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.32 $0.00 18.81 7.64 7 19 6 31.6 $3.17 6.08 3.51 2.05 0.71 $10.03 7.96 5.21 8 20 0.0 $0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.47 $0.00 12.65 6.85 Total 212 11 5.2 $2.11 1.00 0.97 $NetR= 0.00 IVR= 0.00 PIVR= 0.00 PubChR= 1.52
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PickMaster
22Running Style ("1" is a front runner)
Kentucky Derby. 402-RSWIN BETS Field1 Field2 Starts Pays Pct $Net IV PIV DV BV AvPay AvOdds AvPubC 1 39 6 15.4 $1.54 2.97 2.08 0.99 0.59 $10.03 9.88 6.05 2 47 2 4.3 $0.83 0.82 0.91 0.54 0.37 $19.51 16.19 7.45 3 88 2 2.3 $0.59 0.44 0.47 0.38 0.39 $26.01 15.58 7.23 4 14 0.0 $0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 $0.00 20.05 7.93 5 24 1 4.2 $12.33 0.81 0.94 7.95 0.35$296.00 17.18 7.38 Total 212 11 5.2 $2.11 1.00 0.97 $NetR= 0.00 IVR= 0.00 PIVR= 0.00 PubChR= 1.31
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Dave Schwartz
394Surprising, isn't it?
As I further recall, take a look at APV. I think it does well, too. -
PickMaster
22APV Rank:
Kentucky Derby. 16-rAPVWIN BETS Field1 Field2 Starts Pays Pct $Net IV PIV DV BV AvPay AvOdds AvPubC 1 12 0.0 $0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.62 $0.00 9.24 5.75 2 13 0.0 $10.18 0.00 0.00 6.57 0.43 $0.00 13.96 7.23 3 10 1 10.0 $3.92 1.96 1.62 2.53 0.49 $39.22 12.04 6.00 4 12 2 16.7 $3.25 3.18 2.79 2.10 0.47 $19.51 12.47 7.08 5 10 1 10.0 $0.78 1.94 1.32 0.50 0.60 $7.80 9.61 5.40 6 22 0.0 $0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.42 $0.00 14.15 6.95 7 8 0.0 $0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 $0.00 18.32 7.63 8 7 0.0 $0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 $0.00 19.37 7.86 9 118 7 5.9 $1.94 1.14 1.28 1.25 0.37 $32.69 16.45 7.45 Total 212 11 5.2 $2.11 1.00 0.97 $NetR= 0.00 IVR= 0.00 PIVR= 0.00 PubChR= 1.46
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