Comments

  • Saratoga 2023
    Yes, @RanchWest - take care.
  • Need some help with NOTE TAKING
    That's a big step towards understanding what people want and could use.
    Thank you.

    I'm trying to design something that allows for almost free-form notes.

    I think that the key is to have them readily available - so you don't have to go looking.
  • Need some help with NOTE TAKING
    Do you keep the notes?
  • Saratoga 2023
    Won 4/1, $10.00
    ytd, B 8 W 26.20, profit 18.20
    RanchWest

    Nice play!
    You've been performing consistently well.

    Any chance of taking you on a percentage basis? :)
  • Saratoga 2023
    Thanks Dave, but I think the term "excellent" is overly generous.William Zayonce

    Winning is a fragile state.
    Anyone who can win consistently - and your picks over time have shown that you do that - is to be respected.

    Even being close to breaking even is an indicator of (at least potential) greatness.

    I salute you.
  • Saratoga 2023

    You really are excellent.
  • Saratoga 2023
    I'm familiar with the thread.

    Thank you.
  • PP's Question
    Hi Dave, decided to join your Horsestreet blog site and I was just perusing. One of the questions I wanted to ask in terms of the HDW website and it's data is what Past Performance Data do you use. Is it Bris, Equibase, Drf? Also, one of your factors, or can or is this built-in, is horses in cycles tend to show either losing speed on the turn or from 2nd Call to the stretch as negative length loss. I tend to look for horses that have gone 1-2 races whereby this happens particularly if they are chasing and not close to the lead. I have had sucess with these types or will wait to they show improvement in their running.Charles Lucas

    1. Only HDW data.
    Cost is $142 per month for all tracks with results.

    2. Yes, there are several factors that refer to that.
    Things like positions/length lost between calls.

    Those are shown in several formats.
    Last race
    Per race in a graph
    Time-decayed
    Averages
    _______________
    Truth: Our suggested approach to speed already recognizes that the 2nd call (i.e. EP) is not as important as it is made out to be.

    Of the 52% of all winners that are within 1 length at the 2nd call, 44% of those were already on the lead at the 1st call.

    IOW, the 2nd call challengers only account for 8% of all winners and their prices are low.
    ________
    "Do you know what you call a horse who makes a big move on the turn?"
    The odds-on favorite.

    ________
  • Conley-- Congratulations!!
    WOW!
    Congratulations, @Conley!

    Nice article.
  • Saratoga 2023
    TVG and Del Mar this year.Tom

    Sad, isn't it?

    Have a chowder for me.
  • Saratoga 2023
    LOL
    You're one of us - therefore, we root for your success.
    You can do some advertising.

    Be reasonable, of course.
  • Saratoga 2023
    Advertising is not allowed.
    But you're one of us.
  • Data/resources inquiry
    &

    Tony is correct.
    The challenge is that a $16k claiming race may really be anything from a $10 to a $25k race. Usually plus/minus 2 levels.

    That's why I recommend using a strength of race rating instead of par.

    My new software is really getting closer now.
    It will blow your mind with stuff just like what you're talking about.

    I guarantee that you've seen nothing even approaching it before.

    Stay tuned.
  • Data/resources inquiry
    Do you mean "Have ever run to today's par?"

    I like this idea.

    I am aware of no such tool, but it could be accomplished with some code in my future software - target for release is a few weeks away.
  • Pass?
    I pretty much pass nothing. LOL

    I play races differently, but I believe there is always a way to leverage a bet out of a race.

    Must admit, that this position is getting tougher to maintain.
  • PP's Question
    Pete,

    They're not coming to HSH. :)
  • PP's Question
    That's a great idea.
    HSH has a little of that, but I want to do more of it.