Comments

  • Saturday 09-14 HandicappingGet-together
    Thanks to Jim Pommier for doing a great job!!

    Next time, don't do such a good job or I might get replaced.
    :grin:
  • How to bet "The Neal"
    Tom =

    Odds do change dramatically after the gates open.

    Good thing is you use the AI Line to see where the odds SHOULD go.
    After you handicap a couple hundred races you will recognize which
    horses will be well bet at the bell and which won't.

    You won't see near as much odds variation at the large tracks than
    you see on the smaller tracks. A few weeks f experience and it will become
    clear.

    Tough to see now, but you'll pick it up real fast.
  • big shout out to jimmy pommier for his work out idea:
    Bob -

    I am not getting it. What is this 225 and 224?

    Those are the factor numbers you would use to make the report.
    On the handicapping window, if you hit "Prog" 3 times, you get pre-made
    reports. You also have the ability to make up your own, There is an
    Excel spreadsheet with all of the factors you have available.

    Message me through your and I'll help you with any questions.
    Or


    You may want to join us Wednesday evening for our handicapping
    get-together. We'll get you up to speed real quick!!
  • big shout out to jimmy pommier for his work out idea:
    If you have a slot left , you may want to include #415 -
    number of times on track in the last 30 days.
  • big shout out to jimmy pommier for his work out idea:
    So what did he tell you to do?? And how do you use it?

    Time for the "Prince of Profit" to reveal!!!
  • day of the race and jockey switches in general
    Prince =
    Do you $$$ won or win % for your comparison?
  • day of the race and jockey switches in general
    Fabulous, Jim!!

    Where is the best place to pick up the changes?

    The track crawl?

    Equibase scratches/changes page?
    https://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html

    And where do you get the jockey standings to know if it is a
    good change or bad?

    The "Prince of Profit" has it nailed!!
  • Definitions = A Thesaurus of deTerminator concepts
    Factor #12 = Condition

    Any chance of getting definition??
  • Adjusting the betting line (From PaceAdv)
    Excellent answer.

    Give that man a cigar!!
  • Equibase to Develop New Rating System for Races
    Great!! This should make it easier to realize a profit
    IIIIIFFF
    we analyze the form cycle to see which horses are
    improving and which are declining!!

    If all the horses are about the same ability, form cycle
    analysis should be the best way to separate the contenders
    from the pretenders. That is unless a single horse is so
    dominant that he can't be beat even if he runs a bad race.

    Dave has an excellent program well worth the money.
    Check it out!!!!

    Improve or Decline Video Seminar (Download)
    Introducing …
    A Surefire, Easy-To-Understand-and-Use Way
    To Address Form Cycle that is Very New and Very Different!

    https://horsestreet.com/product/improve-or-decline-video-seminar-download/
  • Definitions = A Thesaurus of deTerminator concepts
    What are the definitions of the fields in the "Races" window?

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  • Definitions = A Thesaurus of deTerminator concepts
    What is the exact definition of a dominant odds horse?

    A horse projected to be below 1.22 to 1.
  • Definitions = A Thesaurus of deTerminator concepts
    Good Race = a finish 1st or 2nd or within 1 length of the winner on a similar surface,
    at the approximate distance and a class level equal or higher than today's race.

    Bad Race (not good) = a finish 3rd or worse or greater than 1 length the behind
    on a similar surface, at the approximate distance and a class level equal or lower than
    today's race.

    On "The Ask", dots represent races where the horse was asked to do something different
    from what he is being asked to do today. The horse may have done well, maybe even won,
    but it was at different conditions than he is facing today.

    Less than 10 dots means the horse has run only that number of dots/times.

    With so few "G" and "B"'s, are trainers running horses just to run them and never figuring
    out what the horse is best at?
  • Update - As of July 28
    Soooo excited!!!

    Will there be a video soon?
  • Definitions = A Thesaurus of deTerminator concepts
    The RED OBJECT on the "My Handicapping" Screen Showing
    Most Important Call for Pace

    i.e. E=1st call, EP=2nd, LP=Not E, SR=Not E or EP.
    ... predicts the running style of the race.

    Another way to look at it is:
    _________________
    RED E Means should be 1st call, possibly 2nd call, but not likely later.
    _________________
    RED EP Means should be 2nd call, but could be 1st or 3rd call.
    _________________
    RED LP Means could be anything after 1st call.
    _________________
    RED SR Means should be Str Call or Last Furlong, but might be as early as 2nd call.
    _________________
    Pay special attention to the SHOULDS versus the COULDS.
  • EARLY or LATE
    It's my understanding that E,EP,LP or SR is not indicative of how they will run early, or late.I use an object for that.john g

    Is the object one of Dave's or one you created?
  • Definitions = A Thesaurus of deTerminator concepts
    How would you define a good race? (in the "Deep" tab under
    "The Ask")

    “Good race.” According to Quirin:

    A “good race” typically refers to a horse’s recent performance.
    If a horse finished 1st or 2nd or 3rd or was within 2 lengths in
    a sprint or within 3 lengths in a route.
  • Definitions = A Thesaurus of deTerminator concepts
    *When I say "favorite," I do not mean the post time tote favorite. My definition of a favorite is any horse that is projected to go off at below 3/1.

    When I say, "Projected," I mean using what I call the "aML." That stands for Artificial Morning Line.