Comments

  • What is a "Feed Bag Race"??
    Really?

    Are we that close to having horse racing go away that that is
    the best we can do on a purse??
  • It's Vegas, baby!!
    It CAN get cold in Las Vegas. Snow on the mountains
    this morning!!
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  • It's Vegas, baby!!
    Prepping Dave "The Ram" for his big day!!

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  • It's Vegas, baby!!
    When it's all favorites or horses you wouldn't bet
    with someone else's money:

    The best $1.50 lunch in Laas Vegas:

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    A "free" beer in the racebook and a premium hot dog
    with onions, relish and sauerkraut!!

    Wish you were here!!
  • It's Vegas, baby!!
    Bottom Line =

    DO NOT depend on sitting there and doing
    races as they come up. They come too fast
    and too hard!!

    Know which races you are going to bet
    AND how many horses in each depending
    on Field Size and Chaos Level and FTS
    and number of Lightly Raced horses. You
    must have these mapped out in advance.

    The main TV screen changes from your race
    immediately after the race is finished. You will
    have a difficult time getting final odds if you won
    if you don't use the tote function in Determinator
    or write down the odds on your horses during the
    running of the race.

    Today was an education!! Lots of winners were
    predicted by Determinator and I would have been
    EXTREMELY profitable instead of just profitable
    if I followed my betting rules.

    I was the problem!!!
  • It's Vegas, baby!!
    No for me on tomorrow.

    The Ram is. He has 3 entries in the Last Chance
    Tournament that is tomorrow. He's trying to win
    another entry to go with the 1 he already has for
    the BIG ONE.

    Heading down to see him later in the afternoon.
    He'll be at Bally's fighting the good fight for us!!
  • It's Vegas, baby!!
    Organize - Execute!!

    So much different than sitting at home with 2 monitors
    and a huge desk.
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  • It's Vegas, baby!!
    The battlefield!! ONWARD!!
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  • It's Vegas, baby!!
    Charged and ready to go!!
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  • Making lots of new discoveries!
    Can't wait!!

    How soon??
  • Luan Machado eases before the line
    As of today, February 28, 2025, the most recent New York Times article related to horse racing is an opinion piece titled "Dead Athletes. Empty Stands. Billions to Keep Horse Racing Alive," written by Noah Shachtman and published this morning at 3:00 AM MST. The article critiques the horse racing industry, focusing on its reliance on substantial public subsidies while facing declining popularity and ongoing issues with animal welfare. It highlights the scene at Yonkers Raceway in New York, where, despite a sparse crowd, the industry benefits from significant financial support—around $60 million from an adjacent casino’s revenue in the last fiscal year alone, part of billions funneled into the sport annually. Shachtman argues that this arrangement props up a sport that kills its athletes (the horses) and often exploits workers, questioning why taxpayers fund an industry that struggles to stand on its own amid empty stands and ethical controversies.
    This piece reflects a broader narrative in recent New York Times coverage of horse racing, which has often spotlighted the sport’s challenges, including horse fatalities, doping scandals, and debates over its sustainability. For a deeper dive, the Times has also produced related content like the 2024 documentary "Broken Horses," which aired on FX and Hulu, exploring a spate of horse deaths at major tracks like Churchill Downs and Saratoga. If you’re looking for a specific angle—say, race results,

    From the New York Times:Dead Athletes. Empty Stands. Why Are We Paying Billions to Keep This Sport Alive?
    {Horse racing}
    New York Times ^ | Feb. 28, 2025 | Noah Shachtman
    Posted on 2/28/2025, 8:31:05 AM by Cronos

    ..Back in the day, when horse racing was the only legal form of gambling in New York State, 20,000 or more people would jam the stands at Yonkers Raceway, cheering wildly as the horses ran their mile-long course. But on this day, despite the beautiful July weather, just a few dozen spectators hang around, slumped into faded orange seats along a chain-link fence. Even with online betting, the racetrack takes in less than one-fortieth of what it would have at the sport’s peak. So the horses take their two laps, head back down the runway and exit the track to something near silence. ...

    Back in 2001, when New York State agreed to hand out new licenses to operate slot machines, the racing crowd won an agreement that a chunk of the proceeds would go to them.

    At the Yonkers track, the adjacent casino was doing enough business to generate around $600 million during the last fiscal year. About sixty million of it went to pay out those purses, fund the local breeders and dole out a few million for Faraldo’s group. Multiply that by every year and every racetrack, and it’s billions and billions of dollars.

    .. Maryland uses as much as $91 million a year in slot machine revenue to prop up its horse racing industry. The state last year agreed to acquire the decrepit Pimlico track and invest up to an additional $400 million to upgrade it. Pennsylvania has sunk over $3.5 billion over the past two decades into its racehorse development fund. Even Kentucky, the storied home of American horse racing, relies on a similar machine. Without them, “we would have a few days of racing at Churchill Downs,”
  • Luan Machado eases before the line
    Wow!! I got a "like" to my post in less than 1 minute. Everyone
    else is just milk toast in their responses. Oh, it was an honest
    mistake. Just don't ride him.

    Sorry, not acceptable. Integrity for the bettor is EVERYTHING.
    This is huge money for all of us. This is the future of our industry.
    This is why the New York Times just ran the article on why
    horse racing needs to go away!!

    Hong Kong accountability needs to come to US horseracing
    immediately!!

    Prove me wrong!!
  • Luan Machado eases before the line
    My response:

    Pony_ Player @PonyPlayer05

    Suspend him for life. He cost Exact bettors, Trifecta, Super, Daily Double, Pick 3, Pick 4, Pick 5 bettors a shitpot full of money. A class action suit from bettors should also be on the table to dissuade the other jockeys that may do this in the future!!

    3:24 PM · Feb 28, 2025
  • New Update Friday 02/28 WOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    Good enough. Send it.

    Only you, me and Jimmy Pommier are doing the research.

    Only you and I will use these columns short term. Jimmy P
    will still use Excel.

    The AI objects are all that they will use right now.
  • Report update AP+PS+LR
    It's not AI.

    It is done using factors from HSH and mathematical jujutsu.
  • Report update AP+PS+LR
    65 more races =

    Races with at least 1 rank 1: 44 68%
    (There can/will be multiple horses per race that have
    at 1 rank 1 in their factors.)
    Races with no rank 1's and at least 1 rank 2: 14 22%
    Races with NO rank 1's or 2's: 7 11%

    If a horse has no rank 1's or 2's, there is a 89% chance
    that they will lose.

    Horses may rank low, but still have a single 1 e.g.
    1-7 and rank 5+ and still be able to win. Do not
    overlook these horses.
  • Report update AP+PS+LR
    65 more races =

    88: 2-3-4

    rank 1-3 = 36 82%
    rank 4 = 4 9%
    rank 5+ = 3 7%

    88:5+
    rank 1-3 = 10 48%
    rank 4 = 0
    rank 5+ = 11 52%

    Swing for the fences ONLY when races are 88:5+??
    Or in races 88:2-3-4 where a top 4 horse has a rank 1 or 2
    and is high odds.
  • Dave's "Key to the Mint Strategy" from Wed 02-12 meeting
    Original date published: 5-18-2000

    Good things never go out of style!!
    :love:
  • How Favorites Performed In 2024
    Fantastic!!! WOW!!!

    There is much less variability on months and days of the week
    than I expected.

    5 and 6 horse fields are MUCH higher than I expected.

    At what percentages should we make exceptions? Or will the AI already
    have that figured in?

    (Everyone had better get this right!!)
    (Anyone have a nun for a teacher that REMINDED them with a
    slap of the ruler across the knuckles?)
  • Gulfstream closing??
    1984? Darn I'm old. Never got the fashion gene though. I am DEFINITELY
    a fashion faux pas!!


    James "Sonny" Crockett and Ricardo "Rico" Tubbs are the main characters from the American crime drama television series "Miami Vice." The series aired on NBC from September 16, 1984, to June 28, 1989, and featured Crockett and Tubbs as undercover detectives working for the Metro-Dade Police Department in Miami.


    James "Sonny" Crockett
    Crockett is portrayed by Don Johnson. He idolized the Texas Rangers as a child and became a law enforcement officer. He rose through the ranks with two fellow Academy graduates, Mike Orgel and Evan Freed. Orgel's death left Crockett with years of guilt until he was redeemed after Evan saved Crockett's life. After the death of his mentor, Crockett began a partnership with Tubbs that lasted five years, during which they brought down numerous drug cartels.

    Ricardo "Rico" Tubbs
    Tubbs is portrayed by Philip Michael Thomas. He relocated to Miami from New York City to track down his brother's murderer. He appeared in all but one of the show's 111 episodes and became a fashion icon, influencing trends with his Miami Vice-related clothing. His portrayal earned Thomas a People's Choice Award and a Golden Globe Award nomination.

    Together, Crockett and Tubbs took on the Florida drug world, influencing men's fashions and interior decor trends with their distinctive styles.