65 more races =

88: 2-3-4
rank 1-3 = 36 82%
rank 4 = 4 9%
rank 5+ = 3 7%

88:5+
rank 1-3 = 10 48%
rank 4 = 0
rank 5+ = 11 52%

Swing for the fences ONLY when races are 88:5+??
Or in races 88:2-3-4 where a top 4 horse has a rank 1 or 2
and is high odds.

65 more races =

Races with at least 1 rank 1: 44 68%
(There can/will be multiple horses per race that have
at 1 rank 1 in their factors.)
Races with no rank 1's and at least 1 rank 2: 14 22%
Races with NO rank 1's or 2's: 7 11%

If a horse has no rank 1's or 2's, there is a 89% chance
that they will lose.

Horses may rank low, but still have a single 1 e.g.
1-7 and rank 5+ and still be able to win. Do not
overlook these horses.

This has amazing possibilities!

Can't wait for you to teach this!

The best part is that it it’s built on using AI odds instead of ML or the tote.

It's not AI.

It is done using factors from HSH and mathematical jujutsu.

I've been studying the strength of this Report in identifying low odds horses to single, as Brian demonstrated last week. I've been trying to define what the Gap in Negative Reynolds numbers should be to consider a Low Odds horse as a single. Right now it's all feel and eye test, but as an example I like to see a race with a single L that has a Neg Rey in the 4th column and a gap to the next group of horses that looks something like 24 to 300, or 8 to 180, or 40 to 168 and so on.

Yesterday I identified 29 races from the 100+ races that I've played live in past two weeks that fit that criteria. By "eye test" alone I see 15 winners in 29 races. When I eliminate 4 races that were 88:7 or 88:8 the sample improves to 15 hits in 25 races and a dollar net of $2.90. Steady diet of winners $4.00 to $7.00. with a few $3.60s and a couple $8.00 and $8.60s. When I layer in the place contenders from my existing handicapping- which is a combination of BH A+/A's and Neal H's with low object odds- those same 25 races yield 18 exacta hits that are very "gettable". Tiny sample, of course, but my gut tells me this is not a fluke. Simultaneously, I've been studying how to isolate the BALOs in similar fashion.

Haven't reached any conclusions on that BALO piece yet, but it appears to me that a recipe of Brian's HSH jujitsu AND the AI is quite powerful. I will continue tracking both singles and BALOs in search of the right recipe and am looking forward to seeing the new L/H column in action in our next meetings!

My comment refers to using the 62:x and 88:x figures to segment races and build separate handicapping and betting strategies. Those percentages are based on the AI line/probabilities.

Good work once again from Dave and Brian. Look forward to expanded explanation!

Mostly Brian.