I've been studying the strength of this Report in identifying low odds horses to single, as Brian demonstrated last week. I've been trying to define what the Gap in Negative Reynolds numbers should be to consider a Low Odds horse as a single. Right now it's all feel and eye test, but as an example I like to see a race with a single L that has a Neg Rey in the 4th column and a gap to the next group of horses that looks something like 24 to 300, or 8 to 180, or 40 to 168 and so on.

Yesterday I identified 29 races from the 100+ races that I've played live in past two weeks that fit that criteria. By "eye test" alone I see 15 winners in 29 races. When I eliminate 4 races that were 88:7 or 88:8 the sample improves to 15 hits in 25 races and a dollar net of $2.90. Steady diet of winners $4.00 to $7.00. with a few $3.60s and a couple $8.00 and $8.60s. When I layer in the place contenders from my existing handicapping- which is a combination of BH A+/A's and Neal H's with low object odds- those same 25 races yield 18 exacta hits that are very "gettable". Tiny sample, of course, but my gut tells me this is not a fluke. Simultaneously, I've been studying how to isolate the BALOs in similar fashion.

Haven't reached any conclusions on that BALO piece yet, but it appears to me that a recipe of Brian's HSH jujitsu AND the AI is quite powerful. I will continue tracking both singles and BALOs in search of the right recipe and am looking forward to seeing the new L/H column in action in our next meetings!

The original Key to the Mint article is where I first discovered Dave 20 years ago, and it led me to HSH!

Yes indeed! I'm actually ready to take the exacta approach that I outlined recently in a separate thread to the windows. It's performing that well. Can't wait to see what you unveil Thursday, but I'm already quite pleased with where my deT journey seems headed

I'm continuing to see favorable AI output at the warm weather tracks- GP, TAM, TUP and SA. If there is any drop-off at all it seems concentrated at the cold weather tracks- PEN, PRX/PHA, MVR and CT.

Is it possible that in addition to the disrupted trainer schedules that have been discussed, the "winter racing" issues that we have seen for years are in part due to the simple physiological fact that some horses are just like humans and don't respond well to cold temperatures?

Looking forward to this!

Dave, how do you handle a race in which the Green 4 pace object is the same as the red algorithm object? There is no discrepancy with the whales in this case. Does that Green 4 object still serve a role in determining whether a horse is BALO or not?