• RS out of Preakness
    Yes, the horse's shortest previous rest was 22 days and his median rest was 33 days. So, passing on a shorter rest is completely reasonable to meRanchWest

    Interesting.
    Do you find those numbers to have significance?
  • Fellow Won the Derby Trifecta with ALL button - Does that count?
    It doesn't matter how you did it. A gazillion people bet that race and very few had the winner obviously. If you walked up to the window and cashed a ticket on that race then Kudos to you. Doesn't matter if you got a tip from a drunk horse walker or you got a tip from Mr. Ed cashing a ticket is what counts in this game. And for those of you too young to get the reference, Mr. Ed was a talking horse on tv in the 60's I believe.Handiman

    After all, you were smart enough to listen to him, right?
  • Is bias real?


    You're good to go.
  • Is there anything New?

    Welcome, Milford!

    I look forward to you keeping handicapping alive for years to come.
    (And vice-versa.)
  • CODERS: How to write your own handicapping scripting language?

    There is a private group set up and I will put you in it.

    [edit]
    Done. Just go to the categories and look for 10x Coders.
  • CODERS: How to write your own handicapping scripting language?
    Of course, you do.
    LOL

    Heck, I can do that right here!
    GOOD IDEAS SUPPLIED by STEVEN & RANCHWEST
  • CODERS: How to write your own handicapping scripting language?
    Count me in too. I'm sort of a one horse pony programmer meaning I'm comfortable with only one language but I'm always interested in improving.Steven

    Won't be language-specific.
    That would defeat the purpose entirely.
    Besides, if I post the code in one's native language, then they use the code without understanding the concepts behind it.

    Frankly, I came up with this idea because of you guys.
  • What do you think of the traditional past performance model?
    Ranch merging workout lines in the PP"s has always intrigued me.Tony Kofalt

    Added to my to-do list.
    Might make it part of Those Sheet Like Things - as Dick Schmidt dubbed them.
    zevr2m6os8aecdis.png

    OptixEQ.
    I will take a look at this one.

    Let me first say that Tom is one of my all- time favorite posters. His work on PA and here is so valuable and often times hilarious. Tom I love the way you took products available at no or very little cost and made them more useful! I've always known these features were there but I've been too stubborn to investigate them.Tony Kofalt

    Boy, do I agree.
    If Tom decided to post here every day, the engagement would skyrocket.
  • What do you think of the traditional past performance model?
    Nice work, Jack.
    My favorite part is how you've utilized the tool bar (or whatever it's called).

    Was that with VBA?
  • My Playing Strategy Plus Kentucky Derby, 2022
    1. I use BRIS. From what I've read, horses with a +6, +10, etc Prime Power point advantage win at a very high percentage (of course many times at very low odds like 1-2). How to play? Many do not look vulnerable but still get beat.
    Yes, 6 LENs wins a lot of races but are so over bet that removes any chance of making money.

    Interestingly, at about 10 lengths the win pct actually starts to got down.

    2. How to play small 5 and 6 horse fields where you land on the 8-5 and 2-1. Always separate using jockey/trainer (and other factors), or Dutch? Also, happens in 7+ horse fields, then Dutch?

    Those races become highly playable when there are THREE horses under 3/1 on the tote board.

    The real leverage point is in exactas.
    In the last study I did that included 3 horses under 3/1, the winning exactas when two of those horses ran 1-2 was almost 40% higher than when there were only 2 such horses.

    This is because nobody in their right mind would ever box 3 horses below 3/1.

    Just imagine... You have (say) 8/5, 2/1, 5/2 and it comes back $18.

    But there is a catch... You simply MUST HAVE a BET AGAINST HORSE.

    The video actually explains what I do. It works for me.
    Like a lot of things I do, I could easily be labeled a crackpot. LOL
  • What do you think of the traditional past performance model?
    I don't know how to directly put in a screenshot, but here is a file that shows a portion of the running lines of today's 4th race at CD for the winner, #1, Hawk of War. Hopefully I've done this correctly.RanchWest

    Easiest Way
    1. Save the file to your hard drive.
    2. Drag and drop it into the message you are writing.


    Meanwhile, you guys keep talking.
    Great thread that doesn't need my interferance.
  • What being a member here has done for me
    By the way, I am not suggesting that all races should be played from the top 3 odds horses. I am just saying that is where most winners will come from. Like, with the races above, 4 winners came from the 5th odds line horse and above. That's about 15%. That might give an idea of a reasonable distribution of selections in the long haul.RanchWest

    That would be an absolute fact.

    How do you leverage that to be profitable?
  • My New Software is coming: The STUDIO


    Oh, and I apologize for my tone in my original reply.

    I'm just amazed at how many people call me and say stuff like, "I only play 3 days a month. Can I get your software for free?"

    But nevertheless, you did not deserve my tone, so I apologize.
  • My New Software is coming: The STUDIO
    That's crystal clear.

    Trust me when I say that the $12 per month will be the best $12 you ever spent in terms of what you get.

    We're trying to build something special here.
    (And I am not talking just about the software.)

    You'll either buy in or not.

    For the record, my biz model is not the same as HTR.
    He does it his way and I do it mine.
    I like mine.
    (He likes his.)
    What matters to you is which one you like.

    Best to you, Slim.
  • My New Software is coming: The STUDIO

    Correct.

    Did you expect it would be free?
  • What being a member here has done for me
    I thought Jackie's Warrior was a good bet at even money.RanchWest

    Bring that up tonight and we can look at that race - whichever one it was.
  • My New Software is coming: The STUDIO
    Dave: I don't use HSH. How much will it cost me for the new software and data fees?Jim Michalak

    There will be several levels.
    Still working on pricing, but levels are:
    1. No-Data (worksheets and organization) $79 + $12 a month
    2. Basic (HDW) $147 + $12 per month
    3. Premium (HDW) $477 + $12 per month
    4. Pro (HDW) Includes HSH $1,600 + $12 per month


    The $12 per month is for subscription to this website which includes:
    Products from our store.
    Special stuff like picks from our software, etc.
    A lot for very little.
    If you have the software, it includes some very cool add-ins.

    HDW Downloads are $142 per month from HDW.
    All tracks, with results.
  • Fellow Won the Derby Trifecta with ALL button - Does that count?
    I’ve heard better lucky than good.Steven

    Point taken.
    If only that worked it the long run, right? LOL