• Having a problem
    Did you click Settings and re-type the old factors you want to use in the 5 fields? Then click on AI Agents and then click on abPACE. The factors should be the new ones that you typed in.
  • AI Assistant/Abby Observations
    I have the Tie Breaks setup in the Settings for Abby Pace (not a separate report).
  • AI Assistant/Abby Observations
    Here's several nice low odds winners from yesterday Tuesday 02SEP2025 that I call "strong LP/SR" contenders from Abby Pace. High Rank 1 and/or 2 LP/SR rankings. Since these are strong LP/SR, they're going to be low odds contenders. Remember, if the race Pace designation is E or EP, make sure the contender's ES is NOT 0 or 1. ES 0/1's do not win that many E or EP races.
    BTP R1 - #4 $5.40
    BTP R7 - #3 $5.80
    BTP R8 - #3 $9.20
    FLX R4 - #8 $4.04
    FLX R5 - #7 $6.68
    FLX R6 - #2 $6.66
    FPX R3 - #2 $5.20
    FPX R4 - #2 $7.60
    FPX R8 - #2 $5.60
    IND R2 - #7 $7.00
    IND R3 - #5 $7.40
    PRX R9 - #5 $9.00
    PID R3 - #3 $6.60
    PID R4 - #4 $4.20
    LAD R5 - #2 $4.40
    There were also 13 other sub-Even$ winners that I didn't bother to list.
  • AI Assistant/Abby Observations
    Honestly, I haven't looked at the abRx/abRY (found in BR2 button) that closely. I checked several races from yesterday, and you're definitely on to something here. This is a very good BALO determinator.
    I do use Abby Pace. From the other post-- watch the video "Detailed Abby Instruction Wednesday 08-20 Meeting". It's very good.
    Here's the Tiebreakers I've set up.
    280 - FTBL3
    214 - Earnings/Start
    36 - Jockey Rating
    1,630 - Trainer/Track
    12 - Condition
    A couple of observations. I like to review the Abby pace rankings like in the video. Pay attention to contenders that are Rank 1 in both LP and SR, even in "E and EP" designated races unless their ES points are 0 or 1. These contenders may not rank high early because of their running style, but they stay close enough to the pace. For example a contender with an ES 5 and there's 6, 7 or 8's in the race. The contender does not rank that high early, but the ES 5 keeps him in contention.
    A tie breaker I like to look for is a Trainer/Track Rank of say 5 or 6 and a Jockey Rating of 1 or 2. You have a good contender with not the best trainer, but one of the best jockeys. Could work well in Exacta place tickets since it may signal that the trainer is going for purse money.
  • Why Vegas is Losing Customers
    Guessing there's a lot of reasons. Here in Illinois, Wisconsin and Indiana we have casinos (with shows). Reasonably priced weekdays, not so much on the weekends. There's also on-line sports gambling. Was Vegas fueled by the Baby Boomers and now that's slowly going away? Seems a lot of my friends 20-30 year old kids have it tough financially with high housing costs and taxes. Not much if any extra income for gambling let alone Vegas. As we talked about before, not many young people learned card games, craps, roulette, horse racing, etc growing up. They have no idea how to play these casino games and don't seem to be interested in learning. Maybe like horse racing, there's no younger bettors to replace the older ones.
  • Testing Out My Handicapping
    Hi Tim. Is there a key component that you would like to share? Also, you have three selections each race. Do you then narrow it down to one pick (the 1st) or dutch two of them? Wasn't sure your wagering strategy once you got it down to the three selections. 1st pick did well at SAR. Rained out at GPX.
  • Results for today
    HDW is working on it-- should be up shortly.
  • Results from data mining AI handicap data
    Yes, I'm interested in assisting with the research. I'm working on a small research project using the AI Assist_B-, but it's only for GPX. However, I think the findings will carryover to other tracks. Maybe we can leverage a what I'm finding to your research.
  • deTERMINATOR v2.0 - The AI ASSISTANT
    60 race test from yesterday afternoon Saturday 24MAY2025. No maiden races or races with 4 or fewer horses.
    d's: <=1.21. 17 winners
    L's: <=1.99. 2 winners (d & L's - 31.6%)
    m's: >=2.00 and NOT Natural Odds. 26 winners
    H's: = Natural Odds. 15 winners (m & H's - 68.3%)

    The d's and L's had a much lower hit rate. Guessing because it's Saturday with larger and more competitive fields. The m's or middle AI Line horses did very well. However, with larger fields, there's more m's contenders.
  • deTERMINATOR v2.0 - The AI ASSISTANT
    100 race test.
    d's, L's, m's, H's. 100 races from last Sunday and Wednesday. No maiden races or races with 4 or fewer horses.
    d's: <=1.21. 38 winners
    L's: <=1.99. 6 winners
    m's: >=2.00 and NOT Natural Odds. 29 winners
    H's: = Natural Odds. 27 winners

    Not that many L's since most of the low odds horses qualify as d's and it's a narrow window. So the pool size for L's is low as expected.
    But, as you can see, 44% winners with an AI Line of <=1.99.
    56% winners with an AI Line of >=2.00, but there's a lot of horses in these pools.

    BALO's: AI Assist set to Value Method: 0 and Hit Rate Importance: 100.
    The d and/or L horses with NO Rank 1's. Found 5 of these. The d and/or L horses with ONLY one (1) Rank 1. Found 3 of these. None of these 8 horses won. Have seen a few more of these since testing and none of them won. Also, in short 5-6 horse fields, as expected, these d's and L's finish 2nd quite often.

    Hit Rate Importance: 65. Then set AI Assist set to Value Method: 1 (value) and 2 (hit rate). If a horse is Rank 1 Consensus for both, it's worth a longer look. Not a high hit rate so need to include other factors with it.
  • Is there a Factor for "HEART"
    How about Win%? The horse's Win% compared to the other contenders. The same with Place/Show%. Horses that consistently finish in the top three show that they are reliable and competitive-- have heart. Average Earnings per Start. Horses with high earnings per start-- again show that they have heart and like to compete.
  • OMG!! The coming DeTerminator update...
    I can't wait to see it and try it out!!
  • 8 Keys to Winning
    Number Seven, Precision Shooting is interesting. Yeah, it’s controversial, but the best players can influence the dice.
    Years ago I practiced. Stacked the dice one on top of another-- the number two's (with the casino logo) facing up. Then a gentle throw to the rail just letting one or both touch the wall. Thought I was okay, or maybe not. In Vegas about 40 years ago a big player tipped me $50 since I was rolling pretty good. So I thought I was doing okay.
    Casinos then opened locally around Illinois. I rolled one night for about 30 straight minutes. The pit boss took notice and told me I couldn't stack and hold the dice that way-- crapped out like 2 rolls later. A few more return trips to the same casino and a different one-- the same thing. Said I was "chipping" the dice. I only play craps for fun now-- 1-2 times per year when I go to pickup grandma.
  • ky derby:
    Derby winners are 0 - 14 after the Derby-- past 3 years. Have to go back to Mandaloun to find a Derby horse that won races after the Derby. Only two (2) horses have won the derby with 8 or more career starts since 2000. Mind That Bird (8) and California Chrome (10). Several theories are out there. My opinion is breeding and the effects of medication. Horses need to be lightly raced to attempt the 1 1/4 mile Derby or think about the Triple Crown.
  • Ky Derby winners last race
    Chaos 5 to the 5th. You can make a case for just about every horse. Each owner/trainer believes "if their horse takes a step forward", "if things go their way"-- then their horse will win. The last three (3) Derby winners are 0 - 14 after the Derby.
    Find a horse that has a few positives and that's your pick.
  • Ky Derby winners last race
    I'll be checking out contenders from the Florida, Louisiana and Arkansas Derby's. Also, watch Dave's "My Playing Strategy Plus Kentucky Derby, 2022" video. Search in the Forum and you'll find the video from a few years ago. If you don't like the favorites, this video will help you find the longshots.
  • Who is looking at Pace Handicapping Now?
    I didn't much time yesterday. Will look at it a little more closely over the next few days. Here's a couple I noticed from yesterday.
    05APR2025 AQU R12 (Wood Memorial). #1 Rodriguez. PED E. Click thru the Pace-- E 3 until the finish-- Mag 1's. Speed on the Rail and good cEP and cFT-- paid $9.30.
    05APR2025 SAX R12. #2 Lammas. 10-1 ML. AI BH 1 1. RED E. Passes most of the Pace E's, EP's and LP's-- and all of the E, EP and LP psr and cls. Went off at 6-1, below the ML and AI (Neal)-- paid $14.40.
  • Message From Dave re: BALOs
    Flip-side. 25 Dirt races at MVR, PRX, GPX and TAM (no MSW, MdClm or 4-horse races). RED Running Styles EP, LP and SR. Only 1 winner with 8 or 7 ES points.
    16 Turf races at GPX and TAM (EP, LP and SR)-- no 8 or 7 ES point winners.
    15 Tapeta races at GPX (EP, LP and SR)-- only 1 winner with 8 or 7 ES points.
    Sample size is small. But it does appear that ES 8 and 7 front runners struggle when the RED Running Style is not E.
  • Message From Dave re: BALOs
    Here's a good BALO check (unfortunately it doesn't happen all that often). NOTE: I've been testing all races except MSW, MdClm and 4-horse races.
    Dirt races with the Red Running Style E or EP on the My Hcp screen. Horses with Running Style (RS - 402) 4 and 5 with Early Speed points (ES - 202) 0 or 1 Speed points only win about 10% of the time.
    Turf races with the RED E (NOTE: I tested GPX and TAM). Horses with 0 or 1 Early Speed points only win about 10% of the time.
    GPX Tapeta races with the RED E. Have tested the last 28 Tapeta races with the RED E-- have not come across a horse with 0 or 1 Early Speed points that won.
    It takes a pretty good horse with 0 or 1 ES points to close and win a Running Style E race.