• Jim Michalak
    37
    what do you think about jimmy p.'s suggestion (although he noted it was a limited sample size) about object odds needing to be under 10 for ahorse to be a legitimate win contender? there were many other great ideas suggested as well. can't wait for the replay!
  • PickMaster
    3
    Certainly horses with object odds (assuming the object is the blended AI Line with aML) less than 10-1 will win more often than horses with object odds over 10-1. But the key to profitability is betting horses which the public has underbet, regardless of the horses’ odds. You can cash a lot of tickets by betting “legitimate win contenders” and still lose money. It’s important to understand (and I know you do) that a legitimate win contender is not the same thing as a profitable bet.
  • Jim Michalak
    37
    good point, pick. that seems to be the reason to eliminate the top pick before handicapping the rest of the horses in the race.
  • Jim Pommier
    93
    My opinion is that you don't always eliminate the Top horse. I think it needs further research and testing. As I said in the the other thread-- maybe start with the AI BH, the Neal and the *PS genre using the Obj Odds of the Top 2 horses. Test 50 races and see what you find.
bold
italic
underline
strike
code
quote
ulist
image
url
mention
reveal
youtube
tweet
Add a Comment