what do you think about jimmy p.'s suggestion (although he noted it was a limited sample size) about object odds needing to be under 10 for ahorse to be a legitimate win contender? there were many other great ideas suggested as well. can't wait for the replay!
Certainly horses with object odds (assuming the object is the blended AI Line with aML) less than 10-1 will win more often than horses with object odds over 10-1. But the key to profitability is betting horses which the public has underbet, regardless of the horses’ odds. You can cash a lot of tickets by betting “legitimate win contenders” and still lose money. It’s important to understand (and I know you do) that a legitimate win contender is not the same thing as a profitable bet.
My opinion is that you don't always eliminate the Top horse. I think it needs further research and testing. As I said in the the other thread-- maybe start with the AI BH, the Neal and the *PS genre using the Obj Odds of the Top 2 horses. Test 50 races and see what you find.